Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai…
As of 16 October 2026, "Moonshot" leads at 36% implied probability (+8.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "MiniMax", from 89% to 93%. The event has traded $35.5K in total ($739 in the last 24h) with $23.8K of liquidity across 25 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
25 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.