Tocantins Governor Election Winner
The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder gov…
As of 16 October 2026, "Vicentinho Júnior" leads at 57% implied probability (+21.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Professora Dorinha", from 63% to 39%. The event has traded $26.9K in total ($4.1K in the last 24h) with $86.9K of liquidity across 26 markets. Trading is due to close on 26 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
26 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.