Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner
A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market wi…
As of 9 September 2026, "'Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila" leads at 26% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $251 of liquidity across 28 markets. Trading is due to close on 8 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
28 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.