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Tornado in California by October 25?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a tornado is on the ground anywhere in California at any time between October 21, 2026, 12:00 AM PT and October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any portion of a tornado's ground path within California qualifies, including a tornado that begins out…

As of 21 October 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 33% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $107 of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 26 October 2026.

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$0
Liquidity
$107
Markets
1
26 Oct 2026
TornadoWeatherclimateCaliforniaNatural Disaster

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketTornado in California by October 25?
Yes33.0¢
24h Chg—
Mkt Vol$126
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Tornado in California by October 25? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker