Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the White House, or any Cabinet member publicly and officially announces a tariff decrease on Canada between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any tariff decrease which is officially announced within the …
As of 25 October 2026, "October 31" leads at 83% implied probability (-14.4pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "December 31", from 97% to 91%. The event has traded $8.6K in total ($443 in the last 24h) with $1.9K of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
3 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.