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Politicscloses in 8d

Trump approval rating at least ___ on October 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's approval rating according to RealClearPolling is equal to or higher than the listed value at 5:00 PM ET on October 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution source will be RealClearPolling's presidential job approval poll average…

As of 22 October 2026, "37.0+" leads at 61% implied probability. The event has traded $40 in total ($40 in the last 24h) with $855 of liquidity across 6 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 October 2026.

24h volume
$40
Total volume
$40
Liquidity
$855
Markets
6
31 Oct 2026
TrumpApprovalPoliticsRecurringapprovals

Chart, demo trading & order book

Market37.0+
Yes61.0¢
24h Chg—
Mkt Vol$20
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

6 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.