Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump Administration submits a 48-hour report consistent with the War Powers Resolution regarding the introduction of U.S. armed forces into hostilities or imminent hostilities in Yemen or against the Houthis between the date of market creation and the specified …
As of 17 October 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 6% implied probability (-33.3pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $957 in total ($662 in the last 24h) with $10.8K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 1 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
1 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.