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Politicscloses in 2mo

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults Kevin Warsh between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public settin…

As of 1 November 2026, "December 31" leads at 21% implied probability. The event has traded $37.1K in total ($957 in the last 24h) with $7.1K of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.

24h volume
$957
Total volume
$37.1K
Liquidity
$7.1K
Markets
3
1 Jan 2027
FedTrumpWarshCultureEconomyPoliticsKevin Warsh

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketDecember 31
Yes20.5¢
24h Chg+0.0pp
Mkt Vol$22.7K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

3 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker