Turkish troops enter Yemen by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Turkish troops enter any part of Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Turkish troops" refers to active military personnel officially affiliated with Turkey. Only members of the regular armed forces of Turkey will qualify. Foreign f…
As of 16 October 2026, "October 31" leads at 4% implied probability (-0.7pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "December 31", from 87% to 91%. The event has traded $5.0K in total ($335 in the last 24h) with $14.3K of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
2 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.