TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory
The 2026 TX-16 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the…
As of 12 September 2026, "Democrat 25-30%" leads at 13% implied probability (-1.1pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $5.3K in total ($546 in the last 24h) with $80.7K of liquidity across 13 markets. Trading is due to close on 3 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
13 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.