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Politicscloses in 3mo

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the United Arab Emirates (UAE) or Qatar formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with the other by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information …

As of 12 September 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 5% implied probability. The event has traded $347.4K in total ($829 in the last 24h) with $30.3K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 31 December 2026.

24h volume
$829
Total volume
$347.4K
Liquidity
$30.3K
Markets
1
31 Dec 2026
UAEOPECMiddle EastQatarGeopoliticsOil

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketUAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
Yes5.1¢
24h Chg+0.0pp
Mkt Vol$347.4K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.