UBS announces move out of Switzerland by...?
On September 23, 2026, Switzerland's upper house of parliament voted to raise UBS's capital requirements for its foreign subsidiaries, prompting speculation that UBS could move its headquarters out of Switzerland. This market will resolve to "Yes" if UBS Group AG ("UBS"), or an official representative of UBS, publicly…
As of 16 October 2026, "June 30, 2027" leads at 28% implied probability (-6.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "December 31, 2026", from 23% to 19%. The event has traded $4.8K in total ($1.7K in the last 24h) with $1.7K of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 July 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
2 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.