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Economycloses in 3mo

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market …

As of 1 November 2026, "1-2%" leads at 87% implied probability. The event has traded $115.1K in total ($1.9K in the last 24h) with $25.2K of liquidity across 7 markets. Trading is due to close on 13 February 2027.

24h volume
$1.9K
Total volume
$115.1K
Liquidity
$25.2K
Markets
7
13 Feb 2027
GDPEconomyMacro IndicatorsUnited Kingdom

Chart, demo trading & order book

Market1-2%
Yes86.8¢
24h Chg—
Mkt Vol$46.5K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

7 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026 — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker