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Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian …

24h volume
$86
Total volume
$131.7K
Liquidity
$20.8K
Markets
1
31 Dec 2026
NATOWorldTrumpGeopoliticsForeign PolicyUkraineputinRussiaUkraine Peace Deal

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1 markets
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The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker