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Politicscloses in 3mo

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war…

As of 12 September 2026, "December 31" leads at 5% implied probability. The event has traded $527.6K in total ($87 in the last 24h) with $20.3K of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.

24h volume
$87
Total volume
$527.6K
Liquidity
$20.3K
Markets
5
1 Jan 2027
UkraineGeopoliticsTrumpzelenskyputinPoliticsRussiaUkraine Peace Deal

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketDecember 31
Yes4.5¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$36.2K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.