Politicscloses in 5mo
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits…
24h volume
$3.5K
Total volume
$2.5M
Liquidity
$62.9K
Markets
1
31 Dec 2026
GeopoliticsUkrainePoliticsWorldForeign PolicyUkraine Peace Deal
Probability over time
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Markets and probabilities
1 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.