U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. personnel directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic action directed against a cartel on foreign soil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. "U.S. personnel” refers to m…
As of 16 October 2026, "December 31" leads at 88% implied probability (+16.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "October 31", from 66% to 36%. The event has traded $4.3K in total ($619 in the last 24h) with $11.4K of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
2 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.