polytracker
stale
18+Data only · No predictions · Play responsiblyHow this site works
Politicscloses in 5mo

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States formally commits to giving Ukraine a security guarantee, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the Trump administration and the Government of Ukraine, which creates a binding obligation for the United States to defend or directly interven…

24h volume
$200
Total volume
$21.0K
Liquidity
$12.2K
Markets
1
31 Dec 2026
GeopoliticsUkraineTrumpzelenskyyPolitics

Probability over time

Loading…

Holders and activity

Loading holders…

Markets and probabilities

1 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.