US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between the United States and Canada to lower US tariffs on Canada is announced by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A diplomatic agreement to lower US tariffs on Canada refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument…
As of 16 October 2026, "October 31" leads at 7% implied probability. The event has traded $257.8K in total ($81 in the last 24h) with $73.3K of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
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5 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.