US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Outcome: August 25, August 22. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.
Settled 30 Aug 2026
This market will resolve to “No” if the United States takes a qualifying military action against Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United Sta…
This market settled on 30 August 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $6.3M across 6 Polymarket markets.
Probability over time
Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
6 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.