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Politicscloses in 3mo

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:5…

As of 12 September 2026, "December 31" leads at 6% implied probability. The event has traded $982.0K in total ($9.0K in the last 24h) with $30.3K of liquidity across 4 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.

24h volume
$9.0K
Total volume
$982.0K
Liquidity
$30.3K
Markets
4
1 Jan 2027
IrantollUS-IranPoliticsGeopoliticsU.S. x IranIran CeasefireStrait of HormuzOil

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketDecember 31
Yes5.9¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$113.7K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

4 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

US charges Hormuz fees by...? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker