Politicscloses in 5mo

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within…

24h volume

Total volume

$116.1K

Liquidity

$10.1K

Markets

31 Dec 2026

GeopoliticsLebanonHezbollahIsraelMiddle East

Probability over time

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Markets and probabilities

2 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.