Politicscloses in 5mo

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a flo…

24h volume

Total volume

$183.4K

Liquidity

$10.1K

Markets

31 Dec 2026

GazaIsraelForeign PolicyGeopoliticsPoliticspalestineMiddle East

Probability over time

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Markets and probabilities

1 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.