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Economycloses in 3mo

US GDP growth in Q4 2026?

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled for January 28, 2027. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: …

As of 29 October 2026, "3.0% to 3.5%" leads at 28% implied probability. The event has traded $100 in total ($100 in the last 24h) with $232 of liquidity across 7 markets. Trading is due to close on 29 January 2027.

24h volume
$100
Total volume
$100
Liquidity
$232
Markets
7
29 Jan 2027
GDPEconomyRecurringEconomic PolicyMacro IndicatorsRewards 20, 4.5, 50

Chart, demo trading & order book

Market3.0% to 3.5%
Yes28.0¢
24h Chg—
Mkt Vol$25
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

7 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

US GDP growth in Q4 2026? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker