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US imports Russian diesel before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?

On October 9, 2026, Donald Trump announced an agreement with Vladimir Putin to import Russian diesel fuel, and the United States Treasury issued General License 135 authorizing the importation of Russian-origin diesel fuel into the United States through April 7, 2027 (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts…

As of 27 October 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 51% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $31 of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 1 July 2027.

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$0
Liquidity
$31
Markets
1
1 Jul 2027
OilTrumpRussiadieselUkrainePoliticsSanctionsCommoditiesGeopolitics

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MarketUS imports Russian diesel before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?
Yes51.0¢
24h Chg—
Mkt Vol$0
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

US imports Russian diesel before Russia x Ukraine peace talks? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker