US imports Russian diesel by...?
On October 9, 2026, Donald Trump announced an agreement with Vladimir Putin to import Russian diesel fuel, and the United States Treasury issued General License 135 authorizing the importation of Russian-origin diesel fuel into the United States through April 7, 2027 (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts…
As of 16 October 2026, "October 31" leads at 9% implied probability (-3.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "November 30", from 50% to 28%. The event has traded $237.1K in total ($19.6K in the last 24h) with $20.0K of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 December 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
2 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.