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Politicscloses in 2d

US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against China between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, t…

As of 29 October 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 13% implied probability. The event has traded $5.3K in total ($2.3K in the last 24h) with $2.6K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 1 November 2026.

24h volume
$2.3K
Total volume
$5.3K
Liquidity
$2.6K
Markets
1
1 Nov 2026
IranChinaTrumpEconomyPoliticsTrump-XiGeopolitics

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketUS imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?
Yes12.8¢
24h Chg—
Mkt Vol$5.3K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker