Politicscloses in 25d
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between the United States and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes agre…
24h volume
$47.1K
Total volume
$141.7K
Liquidity
$113.2K
Markets
2
31 Aug 2026
IranTrumpPeace DealGeopoliticsStrait of Hormuz
Probability over time
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Markets and probabilities
2 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.