Politicscloses in 4mo

U.S. nuclear test by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield. Accidents,…

24h volume

Total volume

$770.1K

Liquidity

$23.2K

Markets

1 Jan 2027

UkraineputinRussiaGeopoliticsPoliticsTrump

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

6 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.