Politicscloses in 5mo
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Possession” means that the United States has ac…
24h volume
$68.0K
Total volume
$28.9M
Liquidity
$202.5K
Markets
7
31 Dec 2026
PoliticsU.S. x IranGeopoliticsIran CeasefireIranTrumpNegotiation Topics
Probability over time
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Markets and probabilities
7 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.