Politicscloses in 5mo

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the "leader of Iran" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for "leader of Iran" status include, but are not limited to, "h…

24h volume

Total volume

$618.9K

Liquidity

$29.0K

Markets

31 Dec 2026

Reza PahlaviIran RegimeGeopoliticsWorldIranPoliticsMiddle EastTrump

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Markets and probabilities

1 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.