Politicscloses in 5mo

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights i…

24h volume

Total volume

$135.8K

Liquidity

$11.0K

Markets

31 Dec 2026

PoliticsGeopoliticsWorldUkraine

Probability over time

Loading…

Holders and activity

Loading holders…

Markets and probabilities

1 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.