Politicscloses in 1mo

US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiv…

24h volume

$6.1K

Total volume

$96.8K

Liquidity

$24.5K

Markets

31 Aug 2026

OilIranTrumpPoliticsGeopoliticsU.S. x Iran

Probability over time

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Markets and probabilities

2 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.