Politicscloses in 5mo
US strike on Mexico by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Mexico is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, dr…
24h volume
$243
Total volume
$3.4M
Liquidity
$16.1K
Markets
3
31 Dec 2026
Mexico Cartel WarmenchoTrumpForeign PolicyGeopoliticsPoliticsVenezuela
Probability over time
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Holders and activity
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Markets and probabilities
3 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.