Politicscloses in 5mo
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached b…
24h volume
$257
Total volume
$167.9K
Liquidity
$36.1K
Markets
1
31 Dec 2026
PoliticsGeopoliticsTrumpChina
Probability over time
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Holders and activity
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Markets and probabilities
1 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.