US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
Outcome: September 4, September 7, September 11, September 30, September 18. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.
Settled 18 Sept 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a continuous 14-day period during which the United States does not take a qualifying military action against Iran that begins at any time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The first day of the 14-day pe…
This market settled on 18 September 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $4.2M across 5 Polymarket markets.
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