Politicscloses in 5mo
US x Russia military clash by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Russia between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile str…
24h volume
$440
Total volume
$1.8M
Liquidity
$22.1K
Markets
4
31 Dec 2026
Trump PresidencyTrumpGeopoliticsWorldMilitary ActionsUS-Iran
Probability over time
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Markets and probabilities
4 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.