US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?
This market will resolve to “No” if the United States takes a qualifying military action against Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United S…
As of 5 November 2026, "November 30" leads at 91% implied probability (+4.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "December 31", from 63% to 79%. The event has traded $2.6M in total ($18.5K in the last 24h) with $12.0K of liquidity across 11 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
11 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.