USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS George H.W. Bush (CVN-77) is physically located within the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility at 12:00 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The ship's location will be determined by official information from the U.S. Navy…
As of 16 October 2026, "October 31" leads at 57% implied probability (+0.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "November 30", from 64% to 59%. The event has traded $7.0K in total ($724 in the last 24h) with $42.2K of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 December 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
2 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.