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Cryptocloses in 15mo

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be …

As of 12 September 2026, "$500M" leads at 86% implied probability (+2.0pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $2.4M in total ($7.3K in the last 24h) with $185.2K of liquidity across 10 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2028.

24h volume
$7.3K
Total volume
$2.4M
Liquidity
$185.2K
Markets
10
1 Jan 2028
FDVCryptoPre-MarketVariational

Chart, demo trading & order book

Market$500M
Yes86.0¢
24h Chg+2.0pp
Mkt Vol$857.5K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

10 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.