Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Vic…
As of 16 October 2026, "One Nation" leads at 45% implied probability. The event has traded $24.3K in total ($236 in the last 24h) with $101.2K of liquidity across 19 markets. Trading is due to close on 29 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
19 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.