Waitaki Ōamaru Ward By-Election Winner
A by-election for the Ōamaru Ward of the Waitaki District Council in New Zealand is currently scheduled to be held on November 27, 2026, following the death of incumbent councillor Jim Hopkins. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Ōamaru Ward by-election for the Waitaki District Counci…
As of 12 November 2026, "Keith Marshall" leads at 64% implied probability. The event has traded $20 in total ($20 in the last 24h) with $211 of liquidity across 29 markets. Trading is due to close on 28 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
29 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.