West Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory
The 2026 West Virginia Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes receiv…
As of 20 September 2026, "Republican 45-50%" leads at 5% implied probability (+0.1pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Republican 30-35%", from 32% to 30%. The event has traded $9.4K in total ($566 in the last 24h) with $39.2K of liquidity across 13 markets. Trading is due to close on 3 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
13 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.