How strong will Nolo be?
This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Nolo. Peak intensity means the highest Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale category assigned to Nolo in any Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory issued for the storm. The category is stated in the advisory and is determined by maximum sustained wind speed (1-minu…
As of 24 September 2026, "Category 1 or weaker" leads at 50% implied probability. The event has traded $0 in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $210 of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 16 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
5 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.