How strong will Simon be?
This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Simon (NHC designation EP202026). Peak intensity means the highest Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale category assigned to Simon in any Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory issued for the storm. The category is stated in the advisory and is determined by maximum…
As of 16 October 2026, "Category 4" leads at 98% implied probability (+0.7pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $17.6K in total ($36 in the last 24h) with $5.6K of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 22 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
5 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.