How strong will Trudy be?
This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Trudy (NHC designation EP212026). Peak intensity means the highest Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale category assigned to Trudy in any Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory issued for the storm. The category is stated in the advisory and is determined by maximum…
As of 16 October 2026, "Category 4" leads at 49% implied probability (-0.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "Category 3", from 33% to 25%. The event has traded $3.4K in total ($3.1K in the last 24h) with $4.5K of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 27 October 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
5 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.