How strong will Arnab be?
This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Arnab. Peak intensity means the highest category of cyclonic disturbance that the Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre for Tropical Cyclones, New Delhi (RSMC New Delhi), operated by the India Meteorological Department (IMD), assigns to Arnab's observed i…
As of 26 October 2026, "Severe cyclonic storm or weaker" leads at 23% implied probability. The event has traded $63 in total ($63 in the last 24h) with $204 of liquidity across 4 markets. Trading is due to close on 10 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
4 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.