What intensity will Typhoon Dolphin have at landfall in Japan?
Outcome: Very Strong Typhoon. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.
Settled 15 Aug 2026
This market resolves to the intensity category corresponding to the maximum sustained wind speed (10-minute average) shown in the applicable JMA advisory as defined below. The outcome categories are: "Tropical Storm" (34–47 kt), "Severe Tropical Storm" (48–63 kt), "Typhoon" (64–84 kt), "Very Strong Typhoon" (85–104 kt)…
This market settled on 15 August 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $49.6K across 6 Polymarket markets.
Probability over time
Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
6 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.