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Sciencecloses in 9d

What intensity will Typhoon Dolphin have at landfall in Japan?

This market resolves to the intensity category corresponding to the maximum sustained wind speed (10-minute average) shown in the applicable JMA advisory as defined below. The outcome categories are: "Tropical Storm" (34–47 kt), "Severe Tropical Storm" (48–63 kt), "Typhoon" (64–84 kt), "Very Strong Typhoon" (85–104 kt)…

24h volume
$3.0K
Total volume
$4.0K
Liquidity
$7.3K
Markets
6
16 Aug 2026
JapanWeatherhurricaneHurricanesTyphoon DolphinNatural Disaster

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

6 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

What intensity will Typhoon Dolphin have at landfall in Japan? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker