As of 16 October 2026, "↑ 0.20" leads at 1% implied probability (-0.8pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "↑ 0.10", from 48% to 54%. The event has traded $40.3K in total ($147 in the last 24h) with $61.9K of liquidity across 4 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
4 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.