As of 12 September 2026, "↑ 0.0090" leads at 12% implied probability (-8.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "↑ 0.0062", from 41% to 50%. The event has traded $161.0K in total ($937 in the last 24h) with $14.1K of liquidity across 25 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
25 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.